Minggu, 15 Januari 2012

Experts in Uncertainty

Experts in Uncertainty
Author: Roger M. Cooke
Edition:
Binding: Hardcover
ISBN: 0195064658

This book is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. Download Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science (Environmental Ethics & Science Policy) from rapidshare, mediafire, 4shared. The elicitation, representation, and use of expert opinion is increasingly important for two reasons: advancing technology leads to more and more complex decision problems, and technologists are turning in greater numbers to "expert systems" and other similar artifacts of artificial intelligence. Cooke here considers how expert opinion is being used today, how an expert's uncertainty is or should be represented, how people do or should reason with uncertainty, how the quality and usefulness of expert opinion can be assessed, and how the views of several experts might be combined. He argues for the Search and find a lot of medical books in many category availabe for free download. Experts in Uncertainty medical books pdf for free. The elicitation, representation, and use of expert opinion is increasingly important for two reasons: advancing technology leads to more and more complex decision problems, and technologists are turning in greater numbers to "expert systems" and other similar artifacts of artificial intelligence He argues for the



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